Author: Bruce Moreland
Date: 00:29:25 01/07/99
Go up one level in this thread
On January 06, 1999 at 16:40:02, Dann Corbit wrote: >On January 06, 1999 at 03:56:04, Bruce Moreland wrote: > >> >>On January 05, 1999 at 18:34:02, Dann Corbit wrote: >> >>>Deep blue is probably 2700-2800. So about 200 points better than the best >>>programs would be fair. Of course, this is orders of magnitude stronger than >>>the current programs. Only under very rare circumstances will a 2700 program be >>>beaten by a 2500 program. >> >>Approximately 1/4 of the time by definition. >?? >ELO system predicts 1% upsets at 300 points difference. >How did you arrive at .25? The formula I've seen would predict 15% at 300 points. It is 1 / (1 + 10 ^ (delta / 400)) bruce bruce
This page took 0 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.