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Subject: Re: A good Opening book can make a big difference and here is my experiment

Author: Peter Berger

Date: 09:05:30 09/10/04

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On September 10, 2004 at 09:49:41, martin fierz wrote:

>On September 10, 2004 at 09:37:18, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>
>[snip]
>
>>I'm not the only one who post matches in progress.......
>
>just one more thing: you are conducting ONE experiment: how does the opening
>book influence the match result of jonny-movei. you have posted about a zillion
>(ok, i'm exaggerating, i know) intermediate results, with cross-references all
>around. it is very hard to follow such a flood of posts.
>here's a constructive suggestion: wait until you have all matches finished and
>then publish the results:
>
>jonny - movei:
>
>book A: 16-4
>book B: 11-9
>book C: 5-15
>
>that is about all information that is needed. one click, a 10-line-post, and
>that's it, people interested in this experiment will be grateful that they don't
>have to look up all the information in 10 different posts.
>
>i'm not saying that your experiment is useless in itself. the influence of
>opening books is an interesting question. but if you play too little games (and
>it doesn't matter whether that is 10 or 20...) it's just tossing coins...
>
>cheers
>  martin

I don't think this is true. It looks like a pretty safe conclusion with your
above results, all else being equal, that book A is superior to book C. I know
others have done programs to simulate these kind of questions in Monte Carlo
experiments, it would be interesting to know the level of certainty - I don't
think that more games are needed at all, given the above results.

Peter



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