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Subject: Re: The Brick Wall

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 10:03:00 09/20/04

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On September 20, 2004 at 12:55:07, Scott Gasch wrote:

>Case in point: a couple of years ago someone posted scores from the pros on
>ECM/10.  Almost all of them were around 700/879 except one notable (to me)
>exception: Shredder was down around 640.  (Note: I'm working from memory here
>and I don't know what hardware was involved).  But Shredder is definitely a very
>strong engine, probably one of the strongest engines out there.
>
>If you look at test suite results (which I do to a point, because it's a more
>reliable metric than "I think the engine played well today") you'll notice some
>percentage of "solved" positions where picked because of luck.  The engine
>didn't see the deep mate / tactic, it just liked the bishop on that square.
>Tweak your eval a little and suddenly you "lose" 10 solutions.  Did you really
>lose anything?  Probably not.
>
>The real question is how to emperically measure chess engine progress...
>self-play?  Automated tournament vs. other opponent?  Test suite results?  ICC
>rating?  I don't have an answer but I do self-play and test suites, personally.
>And I don't put a whole lot of faith in the suites...
>
>Scott

The most reliable metric is to play strong opponents and look at the logs
carefully.  Sometimes a win is bad as your program played poorly and lucked out.



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