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Subject: Re: A little match between Arasan and Junior

Author: Will Singleton

Date: 15:52:16 10/06/04

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On October 06, 2004 at 17:52:38, Peter Berger wrote:

>On October 06, 2004 at 17:26:27, Will Singleton wrote:
>
>>As you know, 7 games doesn't mean much.  Arasan might win 4 of the next 7.
>>
>>Will
>
>If my maths is not too rusty, this result confirms with close to 98% certainty
>with binominal contribution (only slight error with such low draw percentage)
>that given this setup Junior is the stronger competitor, no?
>
>I did quite a lot of this kind of matches by now . The Arasan result was indeed
>very surprising - maybe really bad luck, who knows.. . I'll try Amateur next
>with same setup ( and yes, this was *really* planned previously already, which
>falls well into the 2% left :) )
>
>Peter

I should have kept my mouth shut. :)  Anyway, I see too many instances where one
player gets a run of several wins in a row, followed by the opposite result, to
have faith in short series.  Just the other day Leo reported that Amateur was
beaten by Naum 4-0, but my 12 game series showed Amateur up 7.5-4.5, similar
conditions.

Do you have v2.80?



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