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Subject: Re: How strong IS Shredder Classic 1.1 ?

Author: Odd Gunnar Malin

Date: 02:57:13 10/07/04

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On October 07, 2004 at 03:27:12, George Sobala wrote:

>On October 07, 2004 at 03:06:12, Kurt Utzinger wrote:
>
>>On October 07, 2004 at 02:27:56, George Sobala wrote:
>>
>>>First result: I let Ruffian 2.0.0 (Shredder's nemesis) run the gauntlet
>>>overnight against Shredder 8 UCI and Shredder Classic 1.1 at 3'+0" blitz.
>>>Ruffian used its own book, 64M hash, Centrino 1.6GHz, both Shredders used the
>>>downloadable big book from shredderchess.com. I used the Classic GUI.
>>>
>>>Results:
>>>
>>>Ruffian v Shredder 8 : 16.5 - 13.5
>>>Ruffian v Classic 1.1 : 14.5 - 15.5
>>>
>>>Interesting.
>>
>>     Not interesting in so far as results
>>     are within the usual statistical error
>>     margins. Much too less games played
>>     to conclude something.
>>     Kurt
>
>That is statistical nihilism and is simply not true.
>
>I can statistically conclude the following:
>
>1. Shredder 8 is not HUGELY better than Classic 1.1 against Ruffian2 at 3+0
>blitz.
>
>2. There is more than a 50% chance that Classic 1.1 is STRONGER than Ruffian2 at
>3+0 blitz.
>
>... which I find interesting. :)

Did you watch the games, was it a lot of random results in drawn endgames?
I usually prefer to have increment when I test with one timecontrol, eg. 5'+10
blitz to get something usefull for comparing analysis strength.

Odd Gunnar



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