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Subject: Re: how not to calculate performance

Author: Stephen A. Boak

Date: 13:37:37 10/23/04

Go up one level in this thread


On October 22, 2004 at 18:52:13, Uri Blass wrote:

>On October 22, 2004 at 18:30:34, James T. Walker wrote:
>
>>On October 22, 2004 at 13:32:57, Uri Blass wrote:
>>
>>>go to the following link
>>>
>>>http://georgejohn.bcentralhost.com/TCA/perfrate.html
>>>
>>>enter 1400 for 12 opponents
>>>enter 0 for your total score
>>>
>>>Your performance is 1000 but if you enter 1 to your total score your performance
>>>is only 983.
>>>
>>>It seems that the program in that link assume that when the result is 100% or 0%
>>>your performance is 400 elo less that your weakest opponent but when your score
>>>is not 100% it has not that limit so they get illogical results.
>>>
>>>Uri
>>
>>My take on this is they are using a bad formula or have screwed up the program
>>to calculate the Rp.
>>The USCF uses Rp=Rc + 400(W-L)/N
>
>It seems that the USCF does not do it in that way
>
>They admit that the formula is not correct for players who won all their games
>
>Note:  In the case of a perfect or zero score the performance rating is
>estimated as either 400 points higher or lower, respectively, than the rating of
>highest or lowest rated opponent.
>
>It is probably better to estimate the preformance based on comparison to  the
>case that the player did almost perfect score.
>
>Uri

Dear Uri,
What is the *correct* formula for a player who has won (or lost) all his games?
:)
Regards,
--Steve



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