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Subject: Re: how not to calculate performance

Author: James T. Walker

Date: 08:02:48 10/29/04

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Uri you are still grasping at straws to save your argument.  You claim to be a
logical person yet your argument is not logical at all.  The only logical thing
you have said is that someone who scores 1/2 point should be higher than someone
who scores 0 points.  That is logical and it is also true in the real world.
(Forget the link you pointed to)  Also in the real world when the USCF
calculates a provisional formula a minimum of 4 games is required I think.  They
also slightly modify the formula after about 8 or 10 games to weight later games
slightly higher than early games.  This is because experience shows that first
time players are usually more nervous and do not play up to par in their first
tournament (usually).  There is no reasonable argument that someone who lost his
first 4 games is better/worse than someone who lost his first 12 games.  They
may in fact be identical.  More data is required and that is why the
"provisional" tag is applied.  This seems to be a paradigm that you can't get
over.
Jim



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