Author: William Penn
Date: 03:01:21 11/07/04
Go up one level in this thread
On November 06, 2004 at 15:11:05, George Tsavdaris wrote: > My starting purpose was to find the relation between the strength of computer >Chess engines in comparison with human "good players" (GM's-IM's), and time. > I wondered what the relation would be and what the diagram of it would be. So i >could have a guess of, where the strength of engines tends to go at the future, >if the obvious increasement it stays the same or is decreasing. > > Since i don't have the appropriate data for doing such a thing, as it don't >even exist(very small number of "serious" games between computers and GM's), i >have done something that looks similar but it's way different and of a much less >value. > I've gathered the ratings of the engines that was at first places on the SSDF >for all these years and made a graph. Unfortunately we can't really conclude >something important but anyway. The only thing perhaps we see from the graph is >that the engine strength when they play between them, taking into consideration >and the hardware evolution, is steadily increases and in fact we don't see any >decrease into this inceasement, so we can expect further improvement. >Unfortunately the graph has not the appropriate form, to show us if there is a >limit at engine's strength. >Since at 27/10/2000 SSDF have removed 100 points from their list i have done the >same to the lists before 27/10/2000 in order to have a correct graph. > >Here is the data and the graph: > >Date Rating Program >-------------------------------------- >17/1/1996 2347 M.Chess Pro 5 >4/2/1996 2342 M.Chess Pro 5 >2/3/1996 2340 M.Chess Pro 5 >21/4/1996 2330 M.Chess Pro 5 >28/5/1996 2330 M.Chess Pro 5 >3/8/1996 2321 M.Chess Pro 5 >11/9/1996 2320 Genius 3 >23/10/1996 2382 Rebel 8 >1/12/1996 2373 Rebel 8 >8/2/1997 2362 Rebel 8 >9/3/1997 2362 Rebel 8 >24/5/1997 2487 Hiarcs 6 >2/8/1997 2455 Hiarcs 6 >4/9/1997 2458 Hiarcs 6 >24/10/1997 2439 Hiarcs 6 >30/11/1997 2444 Hiarcs 6 >31/1/1998 2433 Rebel 9 >22/2/1998 2489 Fritz 5 >9/6/1998 2473 Fritz 5 >10/8/1998 2474 Fritz 5 >14/9/1998 2474 Fritz 5 >7/11/1998 2470 Fritz 5 >24/12/1998 2466 Fritz 5 >28/1/1999 2476 Hiarcs 7 >28/3/1999 2476 Chessmaster 6000 >1/6/1999 2477 Fritz 5.32 >26/9/1999 2581 Fritz 5.32 >26/11/1999 2596 Chess Tiger 12.0 >30/1/2000 2606 Junior 6 >27/10/2000 2630 Fritz 6 >28/12/2000 2629 Fritz 6 >5/3/2001 2650 Deep Fritz >11/6/2001 2653 Deep Fritz >2/10/2001 2726 Deep Fritz >27/12/2001 2715 Chess Tiger 14 >15/2/2002 2715 Shredder 6 >27/3/2002 2748 Fritz 7 >22/5/2002 2730 Fritz 7 >30/7/2002 2741 Fritz 7 >28/10/2002 2763 Deep Fritz 7 >5/12/2002 2755 Deep Fritz 7 >16/1/2003 2754 Deep Fritz 7 >13/2/2003 2768 Shredder 7 >26/5/2003 2768 Shredder 7 >6/7/2003 2810 Shredder 7.04 UCI >17/10/2003 2812 Shredder 7.04 UCI >25/2/2004 2808 Shredder 7.04 UCI >7/5/2004 2812 Shredder 8 > >And the graph is at http://www.angelfire.com/ultra/georgecm9000/SSDF.jpg > >If you click at the link it will not work, but if you copy and paste it at the >address bar it will! Damn computers..... Yes, I had the same problem with that link, but it works if pasted into the address bar of my Internet Explorer 6 (SP2). I don't know why. That's interesting. Offhand it suggests that the top chess engines will achieve something in the 2850-2900 range next year - if SSDF continues to exist. There seems to be some doubt whether SSDF will continue. And without SSDF, we may never know for sure!? WP
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