Author: Steve Maughan
Date: 16:37:29 01/12/05
Go up one level in this thread
Dann, >Things that seem impossible quickly become possible. I recon about 300 years before a computer will solve chess. This assumes 1) 10^120 possible positions 2) Alpha-beta cutting this down to 10^60 sensible positions 3) Moore's law holding ad-infinitum i.e. doubling in speed every 18 months 4) Assume that we're happy to let a computer ponder for one whole year to solve the game (i.e. 31.5 million secs) 5) Today the fastest quad PC can analyze 5 million pos / sec today These assumptions imply that after 273 years the fastest computer systems will be able to solve chess given 1 years worth of thought!! Of course I doubt that Moore's law will hold for 300 years - but who knows! I think I know the answer already 1.e4 draw!!! Steve
This page took 0.06 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.