Author: gerold daniels
Date: 16:47:39 01/12/05
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On January 12, 2005 at 19:37:29, Steve Maughan wrote: >Dann, > >>Things that seem impossible quickly become possible. > >I recon about 300 years before a computer will solve chess. This assumes > >1) 10^120 possible positions >2) Alpha-beta cutting this down to 10^60 sensible positions >3) Moore's law holding ad-infinitum i.e. doubling in speed every 18 months >4) Assume that we're happy to let a computer ponder for one whole year to solve >the game (i.e. 31.5 million secs) >5) Today the fastest quad PC can analyze 5 million pos / sec today > >These assumptions imply that after 273 years the fastest computer systems will >be able to solve chess given 1 years worth of thought!! > >Of course I doubt that Moore's law will hold for 300 years - but who knows! > >I think I know the answer already 1.e4 draw!!! > >Steve hi steve not draw white wins.lol
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