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Subject: Re: Lies.. Damn Lies & Statistics!

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 16:57:17 01/12/05

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On January 12, 2005 at 19:49:13, Uri Blass wrote:

>On January 12, 2005 at 19:45:00, gerold daniels wrote:
>
>>On January 12, 2005 at 19:27:05, chandler yergin wrote:
>>
>>>On January 12, 2005 at 19:11:12, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>>
>>>>On January 12, 2005 at 19:04:31, chandler yergin wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>So says Mark Twain....
>>>>>
>>>>>You Programmers are spreading lies, misinformation, & disinformation.
>>>>>
>>>>>However I should not attribute to Malice, what can be explained by Ignorance!
>>>>>
>>>>>Computers will NEVER SOLVE CHESS!
>>>>>Stop your Nonsense!
>>>>
>>>>If man were meant to fly, he'd have wings.
>>>>Man will never fly faster than sound.
>>>>Man will never go to the moon.
>>>>
>>>>Things that seem impossible quickly become possible.
>>>>
>>>>In this particular case, it is even obvious mathematically how it will come
>>>>about.
>>>
>>>If you understood Mathmatics, you wouldn't say that!
>>>
>>>It IS Obvious, that it's an Impossibility!
>>>
>>>The Question of "whether or not God exists" is a Philosophical & Meataphysical
>>>Question.
>>>Would you agree?
>>>
>>>Some say.. "It can't be Proven".
>>>With a Philosophical Question, there are NO 'right or wrong' answers...
>>>
>>>With Mathmatics, there ARE 'right & wrong' answers.
>>>
>>>Your perception is in error!
>>>
>>>THINK!
>>>
>>>"In a tree,  from the Starting Position, there are 20 possible moves for white.
>>>There are 20 * 20 = 400 possible moves for black, depending on what white does.
>>>Then there are 400 * 20 = 8,000 for white. Then there are 8,000 * 20 = 160,000
>>>for black, and so on. If you were to fully develop the entire tree for all
>>>possible chess moves, the total number of board positions is about
>>>1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
>>>000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
>>>000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,
>>>000,000,000,000, or 10^120, give or take a few. That's a very big number. For
>>>example, there have only been 10^26 nanoseconds since the Big Bang. There are
>>>thought to be only 10^75 atoms in the entire universe. When you consider that
>>>the Milky Way galaxy contains billions of suns, and there are billions of
>>>galaxies, you can see that that's a whole lot of atoms. That number is dwarfed
>>>by the number of possible chess moves. Chess is a pretty intricate game!"
>>>
>>>NOW, Do you want to "Disprove" this...
>>>OR,
>>>Re-think your position?
>>>
>>>HMMMMM?
>>>Stop the Nonsense!
>>>CY
>>
>>good evening chess programs have just begun.in 5 years no man will be able to
>>beat a good chess program. think of how many men today can beat the top 5
>>engines.as far as the perfect chess program that is many years off with the
>>computers of today it won,t happen. but in 4 or 5 years the computer and the
>>software that run them will be a lot diff. and so will the language.
>>
>>good luck gerold.
>
>Computers will play better but the question is if humans cannot also learn to
>play better thanks to better programs to teach them.
>
>There is a lot of progress in playing strength of chess programs but no progress
>or almost no progress in programs to teach humans to play better.
>
>If somebody in the near future is going to develop a good program to teach the
>GM's to play better you may see better results of GM's against computers in
>2006-2007.

In order for humans to keep up, they must learn exponentially over time.
I don't think that they can do this.



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