Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 18:06:09 01/12/05
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On January 12, 2005 at 20:58:26, Steve Maughan wrote: >Dann, > >>>1) 10^120 possible positions >> >>This is far, far too large. Chess positions have been encoded in 162 bits, >>which puts an absolute upper limit at 10^58 (and it is probably much less than >>that). > >That's news to me - but I don't doubt it. As for the most "moot" assumption I >say it must be to assume that Moore's law will hold up for the next 300 years. >I think we're already starting to see some cracks in the old adage!! Right. It is going SUPEREXPONENTIAL. In other words, rather than doubling over the same time interval, the doubling is getting shorter and shorter. This trend has been measured over a couple hundred years and shows no signs of abatement whatsoever. >One things for sure - we will not see a computer solve the game of chess in our >lifetime!! I am very sure that it will be solved in a time frame that allows some of the current readers of this forum to see it. More likely, the solution will arrive through a forced line that leads to a draw at best or a checkmate rather than a search of the entire solution space.
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