Author: Rémi Coulom
Date: 14:14:50 02/13/05
Hi,
I have made a new version of my program:
http://remi.coulom.free.fr/Bayesian-Elo/
This tool has features similar to ELOStat, and more.
Here is an example output on CCT7 (some games are missing, obviously. I used the
PGN from the CCT7 site):
Rank Name Elo + - games score draws
1 Zappa 886 365 249 8 81% 12%
2 pharaon 733 252 229 9 66% 22%
3 IkarusX 721 308 249 9 77% 22%
4 ChessThinkerX 712 240 221 8 68% 62%
5 SOSx 697 253 221 9 72% 33%
6 DanS 643 254 221 9 72% 33%
7 crafty 592 258 232 9 66% 22%
8 FruitCCT 576 267 262 9 61% 11%
9 MoveiXX 479 265 285 9 50% 11%
10 SpikeX 474 243 224 9 61% 33%
11 Amateur 440 279 274 9 61% 11%
12 thebaron 437 209 216 9 55% 66%
13 chepla 413 250 248 9 55% 22%
14 FafisX 339 629 578 3 66% 0%
15 Matacz 279 251 257 9 50% 11%
16 gosu 259 294 275 9 61% 11%
17 witchess 243 239 224 9 61% 33%
18 ChompsterX 240 231 231 9 61% 33%
19 Yace 218 302 278 8 56% 12%
20 AvernoX 206 256 259 9 50% 33%
21 Rascal 161 288 276 9 55% 22%
22 Butcher 160 321 309 7 64% 14%
23 ArasanX 147 269 290 9 50% 11%
24 Chezzz 119 275 291 9 50% 11%
25 MatadorX 74 296 367 9 55% 0%
26 PetirX 67 320 306 8 50% 0%
27 QuarkX -96 246 275 9 50% 33%
28 Frenzee -131 290 303 9 50% 11%
29 Altamax -157 277 281 9 44% 22%
30 Alarm -192 256 275 9 38% 11%
31 Tinker -272 289 314 9 50% 11%
32 Hossa -274 325 425 8 37% 0%
33 xinixxx -279 278 362 9 38% 11%
34 jonnycomp -322 284 335 9 38% 11%
35 nullmover -411 351 387 9 33% 0%
36 SEE -615 294 351 9 33% 0%
37 SuperBot -653 327 329 9 44% 0%
38 jsbam -719 316 332 9 38% 11%
39 HomerX -754 424 459 8 25% 0%
40 ProphetX -818 362 370 9 27% 11%
41 Neurosis -873 294 310 9 33% 22%
42 Czolgista -1203 293 253 9 16% 33%
43 Tohno -1259 302 218 8 12% 25%
44 Telepath -1294 289 188 8 12% 25%
This matrix indicates, in %, the likelihood that one program is stronger
than another (with the decimal part truncated):
Za ph Ik Ch SO Da cr Fr Mo Sp Am th ch Fa Ma go wi Ch Ya Av Ra
Zappa 80 80 84 84 89 92 94 97 97 98 98 98 95 99 99 99 99 99 99 99
pharaon 19 52 55 58 71 79 80 90 92 94 95 95 89 98 98 99 99 99 99 99
IkarusX 19 47 51 54 65 74 76 87 89 92 93 95 88 98 98 99 99 98 99 99
ChessThinkerX 15 44 48 53 65 74 78 90 90 92 94 94 88 98 98 99 99 98 99 99
SOSx 15 41 45 46 63 74 75 88 90 90 93 93 88 98 98 99 99 98 99 99
DanS 10 28 34 34 36 61 64 80 84 85 90 90 83 97 96 98 98 98 98 99
crafty 7 20 25 25 25 38 53 72 74 77 83 84 81 94 94 96 96 95 97 97
FruitCCT 5 19 23 21 24 35 46 69 72 74 77 79 77 94 93 95 95 95 96 97
MoveiXX 2 9 12 9 11 19 27 30 51 57 58 62 67 83 85 87 88 88 91 93
SpikeX 2 7 10 9 9 15 25 27 48 56 58 63 67 86 87 89 90 89 91 95
Amateur 1 5 7 7 9 14 22 25 42 43 50 55 62 78 79 85 84 84 87 89
thebaron 1 4 6 5 6 9 16 22 41 41 49 56 62 80 81 86 87 86 88 91
chepla 1 4 4 5 6 9 15 20 37 36 44 43 59 76 76 81 81 82 84 88
FafisX 4 10 11 11 11 16 18 22 32 32 37 37 40 57 59 62 62 64 66 70
Matacz 0 1 1 1 1 2 5 5 16 13 21 19 23 42 54 57 58 63 64 71
gosu 0 1 1 1 1 3 5 6 14 12 20 18 23 40 45 53 54 57 60 67
witchess 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 12 10 14 13 18 37 42 46 50 54 58 65
ChompsterX 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 4 11 9 15 12 18 37 41 45 49 54 57 66
Yace 0 0 1 1 1 1 4 4 11 10 15 13 17 35 36 42 45 45 52 60
AvernoX 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 8 8 12 11 15 33 35 39 41 42 47 58
Rascal 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 6 4 10 8 11 29 28 32 34 33 39 41
Rémi
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