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Subject: Re: A Statistical Study of Chess Results

Author: Walter Faxon

Date: 10:28:00 02/18/05

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On February 17, 2005 at 09:12:25, Rémi Coulom wrote:

>On February 17, 2005 at 08:46:50, Norm Pollock wrote:
>
>>Due to the availability of database software and the availability of chess games
>>in pgn form, I was able to do a study of chess results. I think I came up with a
>>surprising observation. Rather than ramble on, let me just give you the link to
>>the thread at the winboard forum where I posted the study:
>>
>>http://volker-pittlik.name/wbforum/viewtopic.php?t=1660
>
>Interesting.
>
>In a similar spirit, I recently tried to measure whether the proportion of draws
>increases as strength increases. This is true for human players, but not at all
>for computers. I ran this study on the big database containing all of Leo
>Dijksman's WBEC games, so the range of playing strength was very wide.
>
>I did this because someone pointed at the increase in the proportion of draws
>with strength as supporting the hypothesis that the theoretical value of the
>starting position is a draw. Comparing with computers indicate that this
>increase mainly support the hypothesis that grandmasters are lazy.
>
>Rémi


Viz. grandmaster "laziness", a good control would be to repeat the study using
results from postal chess.  I would suspect that's White's advantage would be
even higher.

-- Walter



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