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Subject: Re: How well did the CCC guess the new SSDF results?

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 17:35:49 01/28/99

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On January 28, 1999 at 11:56:26, Steven Schwartz wrote:

>While rummaging through the results of old CCC Opinion Polls in preparation
>for some new questions that we are about to put up, I came across these
>results from this past Christmas. Now that the new SSDF has just arrived
>(now up on the WCCR in the Computer Chess Resource Center), it is
>interesting to see how well/poorly we all guessed at the outcome.
>-Steve (ICD/Your Move)
>
>          Which of the following new chess programs do you think
>                    will turn out to be the strongest?
>                           Voters Could Choose One
> Fritz 5.32 bit                   95 Votes                       29.87 %
> Rebel 10.0                       58 Votes                       18.24 %
> Hiarcs 7.0                       56 Votes                       17.61 %
> Chess Genius 6.0                 25 Votes                        7.86 %
> Chessmaster 6000                 19 Votes                        5.97 %
> Junior 5.0                       19 Votes                        5.97 %
> M-Chess Pro 8.0                   8 Votes                        2.52 %
> Nimzo 99                          4 Votes                        1.26 %
> Shredder 3.0                      4 Votes                        1.26 %
> Abstain                          30 Votes                        9.43 %


I didn't realize it took a mathematical genius to figure out the next term in
this 'series'.  But it goes like this:  the most recently released program will
pop to the top of the SSDF nearly every time. The reason?  It is called "auto-
232"...



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