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Subject: Re: How well did the CCC guess the new SSDF results?

Author: James T. Walker

Date: 18:41:53 01/28/99

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On January 28, 1999 at 20:35:49, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On January 28, 1999 at 11:56:26, Steven Schwartz wrote:
>
>>While rummaging through the results of old CCC Opinion Polls in preparation
>>for some new questions that we are about to put up, I came across these
>>results from this past Christmas. Now that the new SSDF has just arrived
>>(now up on the WCCR in the Computer Chess Resource Center), it is
>>interesting to see how well/poorly we all guessed at the outcome.
>>-Steve (ICD/Your Move)
>>
>>          Which of the following new chess programs do you think
>>                    will turn out to be the strongest?
>>                           Voters Could Choose One
>> Fritz 5.32 bit                   95 Votes                       29.87 %
>> Rebel 10.0                       58 Votes                       18.24 %
>> Hiarcs 7.0                       56 Votes                       17.61 %
>> Chess Genius 6.0                 25 Votes                        7.86 %
>> Chessmaster 6000                 19 Votes                        5.97 %
>> Junior 5.0                       19 Votes                        5.97 %
>> M-Chess Pro 8.0                   8 Votes                        2.52 %
>> Nimzo 99                          4 Votes                        1.26 %
>> Shredder 3.0                      4 Votes                        1.26 %
>> Abstain                          30 Votes                        9.43 %
>
>
>I didn't realize it took a mathematical genius to figure out the next term in
>this 'series'.  But it goes like this:  the most recently released program will
>pop to the top of the SSDF nearly every time. The reason?  It is called "auto-
>232"...

I'm sorry but that's a little too suttle for me.  Would you mind explaining what
you mean?
Jim Walker



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