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Subject: Re: How well did the CCC guess the new SSDF results?

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 21:34:54 01/28/99

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On January 28, 1999 at 21:41:53, James T. Walker wrote:

>On January 28, 1999 at 20:35:49, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On January 28, 1999 at 11:56:26, Steven Schwartz wrote:
>>
>>>While rummaging through the results of old CCC Opinion Polls in preparation
>>>for some new questions that we are about to put up, I came across these
>>>results from this past Christmas. Now that the new SSDF has just arrived
>>>(now up on the WCCR in the Computer Chess Resource Center), it is
>>>interesting to see how well/poorly we all guessed at the outcome.
>>>-Steve (ICD/Your Move)
>>>
>>>          Which of the following new chess programs do you think
>>>                    will turn out to be the strongest?
>>>                           Voters Could Choose One
>>> Fritz 5.32 bit                   95 Votes                       29.87 %
>>> Rebel 10.0                       58 Votes                       18.24 %
>>> Hiarcs 7.0                       56 Votes                       17.61 %
>>> Chess Genius 6.0                 25 Votes                        7.86 %
>>> Chessmaster 6000                 19 Votes                        5.97 %
>>> Junior 5.0                       19 Votes                        5.97 %
>>> M-Chess Pro 8.0                   8 Votes                        2.52 %
>>> Nimzo 99                          4 Votes                        1.26 %
>>> Shredder 3.0                      4 Votes                        1.26 %
>>> Abstain                          30 Votes                        9.43 %
>>
>>
>>I didn't realize it took a mathematical genius to figure out the next term in
>>this 'series'.  But it goes like this:  the most recently released program will
>>pop to the top of the SSDF nearly every time. The reason?  It is called "auto-
>>232"...
>
>I'm sorry but that's a little too suttle for me.  Would you mind explaining what
>you mean?
>Jim Walker


sure... take your new program, lash it up using auto232 to play against the
currently available programs.  Tune until you win more than you lose.  Then
release that version... and pop to the top of the SSDF.  Until the next
programmer has a chance to get your new program, lash it up with auto232, and
test/tune against it...  An endless circle...  Most commercial guys seems to
have multiple machines doing this 24 hours a day.  Ed once wrote that he had
8 machines doing such non-stop.  Others are doing the same I'm sure...



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