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Subject: Re: Yace vs Aristarch (update)

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 21:50:45 04/25/05

Go up one level in this thread


On April 25, 2005 at 20:50:59, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On April 25, 2005 at 20:34:19, pavel wrote:
>
>>First 1000 Games:
>>--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>      Program                 Elo    +   -   Games   Score   Av.Op.  Draws
>>
>>  1 Aristarch 4.50          : 2519   19  19  1000    55.4 %   2481   23.3 %
>>  2 Yace Paderborn          : 2481   19  19  1000    44.6 %   2519   23.3 %
>>
>>
>>Individual statistics:
>>
>>1 Aristarch 4.50            : 2519  1000 (+437,=233,-330), 55.4 %
>>
>>Yace Paderborn                : 1000 (+437,=233,-330), 55.4 %
>>
>>2 Yace Paderborn            : 2481  1000 (+330,=233,-437), 44.6 %
>>
>>Aristarch 4.50                : 1000 (+330,=233,-437), 44.6 %
>>--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>>All games (so far 5004 games):
>>--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>> Program                       Elo    +   -   Games   Score   Av.Op.  Draws
>>
>>  1 Aristarch 4.50           : 2516    8   8  5004    54.7 %   2484   23.9 %
>>  2 Yace Paderborn           : 2484    8   8  5004    45.3 %   2516   23.9 %
>>
>>
>>Individual statistics:
>>
>>1 Aristarch 4.50            : 2516  5004 (+2140,=1196,-1668), 54.7 %
>>
>>Yace Paderborn                : 5004 (+2140,=1196,-1668), 54.7 %
>>
>>2 Yace Paderborn            : 2484  5004 (+1668,=1196,-2140), 45.3 %
>>
>>Aristarch 4.50                : 5004 (+1668,=1196,-2140), 45.3 %
>>
>>--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>>
>>At one point I thought the positional learning was really helping YACE (it did
>>good in 3rd and 4th 1000 games). But now it seems that the overall differance is
>>negligable since the first 1000 games. I will run another 5000 than I will stop.
>>
>>pavs
>
>It is interesting that you chose two programs that are very close in strength.
>At this point, it is still hard to be sure which one is actually stonger.  So in
>this particular case, the entire experiment will be needed to resolve the
>question.

I can be sure that Aristarch is clearly stronger based on other data like CEGT
see http://www.husvankempen.de/nunn/cegt.html


but even based on the data that is posted it seems that Aristarch is clearly
stronger.

1 Aristarch 4.50           : 2516    8   8  5004    54.7 %   2484   23.9 %
2 Yace Paderborn           : 2484    8   8  5004    45.3 %   2516   23.9 %

The difference is 32 elo and the error margin of the difference is clearly
smaller.

Note that I think that a match of thousands of games between 2 programs is a
very bad way to test which program is stronger because you may find by that way
that A can score 54% against B,B can score 54% against C and C can score 54%
against A.

Uri



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