Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 07:30:10 06/10/05
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On June 10, 2005 at 10:11:03, stuart taylor wrote: >The two Shredder programs which are 7.04 and 9.00, ought to both participate in >any important computer events, I firmly believe. They are both very different, >and have both not yet been fully assessed, and therefore, I believe the results >of both ought to be of great interest. Each one of them are about 100% >"interesting", but both, in same tournaments, are let's say, 300% interesting, >in fact, many puzzling questions would cause discomfort if they don't both play >in same events. >Shredder 8, probably doesn't matter all that much, if you have the above two. >Hopefully, others will agree, and this will be done! Imagine a contest with ten engines of equal ability, labelled A through J. The odds of winning are 10% for any one engine. But now, suppose for engine C, that we allow a second engine called C-1 of about the same ability. Now the odds for C with either C or C-1 have become 2/11 = 18% Suppose we allow 5 variants of the C engine C, C-1, C-2, C-3, C-4 Now the odds are 5/14 = 35.7% Suppose we allow 5000 variants. Now the odds are 5000/5009 = 99.8% Suppose we owe N variants. Now the odds are N/(N+9). If N is 1 million, then the odds of winning the contest are now 99.9991% Keep in mind that all engines are of the same ability, but now engine C is virtually assured of winning with one of the variants. Having more than one entry is clearly a very unfair advantage.
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