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Subject: WCCC Guessing Game

Author: A. Cozzie

Date: 08:36:17 08/11/05


Well I have taken my holiday from CCC to improve my program, but I'm flying out
tomorrow and not going to make any big changes today, so its just a matter of
packing up, and I have some free time to speculate.  Quite frankly I think
guessing who is going to score what in the WCCC might be more fun than playing
with it, and unlike boxing programs can't use you ranking them poorly as
motivation.  So here goes:

1. I'm predicting Junior to repeat.  No one tests against Junior - they all test
against Shredder.

2. I'm predicting this is the year that Shredder finally falls into the middle
of the pack.  Shredder simply hasn't improved since 7.04.  7.04 was a great
engine, but the rest of the world has caught up with him.  In addition, Fruit is
joining, and Fruit is hell for Shredder.

3. I'm predicting Crafty and Diep both do pretty well, simply by virtue of
hardware.  15M nps is nothing to write off easily, and Peter Berger with his
blood contract with the devil will again get Crafty positions where it reacts
well.  On Diep's side, he might finally get a decent search depth, which has
been Diep's achilles heel since time immemorial.

4. I'm predicting Fruit only finishes in the middle of the pack.  Fruit is a
strong program, but it isn't parallel and my prediction is that it gets killed
in the opening book at least 3 or 4 games and loses before it computes its first
instruction.

5. As for myself, my goal is to get 3rd.  I'll be disappointed if Zappa finishes
less than 5th, but I'm prepared for that :)

anthony



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