Author: Andrew Williams
Date: 09:21:03 08/11/05
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On August 11, 2005 at 11:36:17, A. Cozzie wrote: >Well I have taken my holiday from CCC to improve my program, but I'm flying out >tomorrow and not going to make any big changes today, so its just a matter of >packing up, and I have some free time to speculate. Quite frankly I think >guessing who is going to score what in the WCCC might be more fun than playing >with it, and unlike boxing programs can't use you ranking them poorly as >motivation. So here goes: > >1. I'm predicting Junior to repeat. No one tests against Junior - they all test >against Shredder. > >2. I'm predicting this is the year that Shredder finally falls into the middle >of the pack. Shredder simply hasn't improved since 7.04. 7.04 was a great >engine, but the rest of the world has caught up with him. In addition, Fruit is >joining, and Fruit is hell for Shredder. > I think you underestimate Shredder (and SMK) very significantly. It's not by coincidence that Junior and Shredder have monopolized these tournaments in recent years. >3. I'm predicting Crafty and Diep both do pretty well, simply by virtue of >hardware. 15M nps is nothing to write off easily, and Peter Berger with his >blood contract with the devil will again get Crafty positions where it reacts >well. On Diep's side, he might finally get a decent search depth, which has >been Diep's achilles heel since time immemorial. > Where did you get information about hardware? >4. I'm predicting Fruit only finishes in the middle of the pack. Fruit is a >strong program, but it isn't parallel and my prediction is that it gets killed >in the opening book at least 3 or 4 games and loses before it computes its first >instruction. > >5. As for myself, my goal is to get 3rd. I'll be disappointed if Zappa finishes >less than 5th, but I'm prepared for that :) > >anthony Good luck, Anthony. I hope you enjoy the tournament. Andrew
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