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Subject: Re: here my guess...

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 17:57:09 08/11/05

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On August 11, 2005 at 14:37:56, Uri Blass wrote:

>On August 11, 2005 at 14:00:24, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On August 11, 2005 at 13:57:36, Madhavan wrote:
>>
>>>On August 11, 2005 at 13:53:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 11, 2005 at 12:55:10, Thorsten Czub wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>1.  Fruit
>>>>>2.  Shredder
>>>>>3.  Junior
>>>>>4.  Crafty
>>>>>5.  Zappa
>>>>>6.  Diep
>>>>>7.  Sjeng
>>>>>8.  Jonny
>>>>>9.  IsiChess
>>>>>10. My_fute
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>That will be a miracle.  A single opteron CPU (single core) is 2x as fast as a
>>>>3.0ghz pentium.  I, at least, will be running on 8 of 'em.  That is a tough
>>>>disadvantage to overcome...
>>>
>>>Don't forget Fruit beta has got another 100 elo improvement.
>>
>>
>>Doesn't matter at all.  a speed advantage of 16x is huge.  Not insurmountable,
>>but _huge_ and very difficult to overcome.
>
>I guess that it does not gives more than 150-200 elo improvement because of
>diminishing return that means that being twice faster give only 40-50 elo
>improvement at long time control and not 70 elo.
>
>It seems that public fruit is about 150-200 elo better than public Crafty.
>I expect both WCCC fruit and WCCC Crafty to be better than the public version so
>it seems to me that fruit and Crafty have equal chances.
>
>Maybe Crafty has better chances because you could learn from Fruit's evaluation
>so you improved Crafty more than Fabien improved Fruit but only you can tell if
>looking at the source of fruit helped you to improve Crafty.

That I can answer easily.  I've not looked at the source of fruit.  So there's
no way it could have helped.  In fact, I haven't even seen a game fruit vs
crafty so I have no idea how the thing plays.

My comment was solely about speed.  a factor of 16 (over 3.0ghz) is 4 doublings,
each doubling is certainly worth something.  Whether it will make Crafty
stronger than fruit, I won't speculate about since I have no idea how they
compare on equal hardware with reasonable opening book moves.  But given two
programs that are within a hundred rating points of each other, I'd be
hard-pressed to not pick the one that is suddenly 12-16X faster...

That was my only point.  I don't know that I'll win a single game.  But I do
know that it is going to be hell to beat the thing.  I've seen 15 ply searches
in 5 3 games on ICC in the middlegame.  I saw 16-17 ply middlegame searches
against Junior in the next-to-last CCT which Crafty won on a quad cpu box.  This
one is 2x faster...

>
>
>>
>>Also I don't believe the +100 elo stuff anyway, otherwise all the programs would
>>be rated 3600 and up by now...
>
>I also do not believe the +100 elo stuff for fruit in this version but the stuff
>is only about fruit so I do not see how you get your conclusion about other
>programs.

Simple.  Every year, every new version, "the new version is 60-80-100 elo
stronger than last year's version."  Seen that over and over and over.  :)




>
>The +100 elo stuff was correct for Fruit in the past and it is a fact that fruit
>improved faster than other programs
>
>Fruit2.0 was already above Crafty level on one cpu and Fruit2.1 is slightly more
>than 100 elo better than fruit2.0 based on the CEGT rating list.
>
>Uri



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