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Subject: Re: here my guess...

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 08:59:50 08/12/05

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On August 12, 2005 at 11:39:35, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On August 12, 2005 at 01:59:30, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On August 11, 2005 at 20:57:09, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On August 11, 2005 at 14:37:56, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 11, 2005 at 14:00:24, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On August 11, 2005 at 13:57:36, Madhavan wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On August 11, 2005 at 13:53:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On August 11, 2005 at 12:55:10, Thorsten Czub wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>1.  Fruit
>>>>>>>>2.  Shredder
>>>>>>>>3.  Junior
>>>>>>>>4.  Crafty
>>>>>>>>5.  Zappa
>>>>>>>>6.  Diep
>>>>>>>>7.  Sjeng
>>>>>>>>8.  Jonny
>>>>>>>>9.  IsiChess
>>>>>>>>10. My_fute
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>That will be a miracle.  A single opteron CPU (single core) is 2x as fast as a
>>>>>>>3.0ghz pentium.  I, at least, will be running on 8 of 'em.  That is a tough
>>>>>>>disadvantage to overcome...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Don't forget Fruit beta has got another 100 elo improvement.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>Doesn't matter at all.  a speed advantage of 16x is huge.  Not insurmountable,
>>>>>but _huge_ and very difficult to overcome.
>>>>
>>>>I guess that it does not gives more than 150-200 elo improvement because of
>>>>diminishing return that means that being twice faster give only 40-50 elo
>>>>improvement at long time control and not 70 elo.
>>>>
>>>>It seems that public fruit is about 150-200 elo better than public Crafty.
>>>>I expect both WCCC fruit and WCCC Crafty to be better than the public version so
>>>>it seems to me that fruit and Crafty have equal chances.
>>>>
>>>>Maybe Crafty has better chances because you could learn from Fruit's evaluation
>>>>so you improved Crafty more than Fabien improved Fruit but only you can tell if
>>>>looking at the source of fruit helped you to improve Crafty.
>>>
>>>That I can answer easily.  I've not looked at the source of fruit.  So there's
>>>no way it could have helped.  In fact, I haven't even seen a game fruit vs
>>>crafty so I have no idea how the thing plays.
>>
>>I think that it is better if you look at the code because it probably can help
>>you to find better ideas to improve crafty.
>>
>><snipped>
>>>Simple.  Every year, every new version, "the new version is 60-80-100 elo
>>>stronger than last year's version."  Seen that over and over and over.  :)
>>
>>For fruit it is correct so far and there is more than one version per year.
>>Note that I do not expect fruit of today to be 100 elo better than Fruit2.1
>>because 2 months is too early for 100 elo improvement but I certainly expect 100
>>elo improvement in fruit to happen in less than a year because Fabien is better
>>programmer than the programmers of the commercial programs(I also expect part of
>>the commercial to improve faster thanks to learning from fruit).
>>
>>Fruit2.1 is from 17.6.2005
>>Fruit2.0 is from 24.12.2004
>>Fruit1.5 is from 17.06.2004
>>Fruit1.0 is from 17.03.2004
>>
>>Based on different lists I find more than 100 elo difference between Fruit2.1
>>and Fruit2.0 and I remember similiar improvement with older versions of Fruit.
>>
>>You can say that it was not hard to improve old versions before Fruit2.0 but
>>Fruit2.0 is already better than the public version of Crafty on one cpu and
>>Fruit still has search bugs that fabien did not fix.
>>
>>Here are 2 rating lists when both fruit2.1 and fruit2.0 have more than 1000
>>games:
>>
>>http://www.miko42.de/turniere/blitzturniere/blitzrangliste.html
>>
>>Fruit2.1 2712
>>Fruit2.0 2608
>>
>>http://www.husvankempen.de/nunn/rangliste.html
>>
>>Fruit2.1 2713
>>Fruit2.0 2607
>>
>>Uri
>
>
>That's all well and good, but also a different topic.  Almost _any_ engine
>progresses by leaps and bounds the first year or two or three, assuming it was a
>"start from scratch" project.  But once it incorporates most of the known ideas,
>progress starts to slow down...

of course I expect fruit to slow down after enough progress but I Know that
public fruit has weaknesses in the search(for example it does not use partial
extensions and also cannot solve fast fine70(the pawn endgame when Kb1 is the
winning move)).

I also know that fabien plans to fix the weaknesses(at least for fine70) and
this is one of the reasons that I still expect big improvement for fruit in the
near future.

Uri



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