Author: Sandro Necchi
Date: 00:21:38 08/19/05
Go up one level in this thread
On August 19, 2005 at 03:02:43, Zheng Zhixian wrote: >On August 19, 2005 at 02:38:30, Jonas Cohonas wrote: OK, here are some explanations of my guesses: > >>>Crafty - Fute_MT 1-0 Crafty is simply too strong to get any other score. >>>Shredder - Jonny 1-0 We should be able to get a small edge in the opening and then win. >>>IsiChess MMX - The Baron 0.5-0.5 These 2 programs are about equal in strenght, so this is the most guessable score. >>>Diep - Fruit 0-1 Fruit is strong and Diep seems weaker this year, so this is the most reliable guess. >>>The Crazy Bishop - Deep Sjeng 0-1 Deep Sjeng is stronger than most people think and has a very good opening book! >>>Zappa - Deep Junior 0.5-0.5 Zappa is strong and so Junior. Junior book may be known and something prepared on it. So this score is 50% reliable (20% Zappa wins and 30% DJ wins). >>>> >>>Round 8 >>>> >>>Fute_MT - Diep 0-1 Diep is stronger and had some bad luck, cannot believe it will not win this one. >>>Jonny - Crafty 0.5-0.5 Jonny is an outgoing mine and should be able to score a good result anytime. This is my best guess. 50% draw (15% Jonny wins and 35% Crafty wins) >>>The Baron - Shredder 0-1 From a statistic points of views we already had our bad luck, so we should have no problems on this one. >>>Zappa - IsiChess MMX 0.5-0.5 IsiChess is not going to loose all games and seldom is a dangerouls opponent. I believe this is best guess. 60% draw (5% IsiChess win and 35% Zappa wins). >>>Fruit - The Crazy Bishop 1-0 Fruit is solid and clearly stronger, so it should win. >>>Deep Junior - Deep Sjeng 0-1 I believe Deep Sjeng will give a bad surprise to DJ. This is my best guess. 60% Deep Sjeng win (20% draw and 20% DJ win). >>>> >>>> >>>>ICC is interesting,there are lots of kibitzes,I'll stick with ICC,stopped >>>>playchess,broadcasting sux. >> >>It is interesting how you have your closest rival drawing and losing, where most >>people would give DJ two wins here, wishful thinking perhaps :) > >I rather fancy Zappa chances. It seems to play like a Tiger whenever it's >operated by it's author. Look at the last 2 CCTS! Zappa did score better than one thougth...it is expectable some bad games from a statistics points of view...however it is a strong program. > > >> >>Jonas > >Well if he was truly biased he would have given predictions that conspire to >have Shredder end up equal first with 6.0 (not sure of the tiebreaks) :) > >As it is, it ends up with Fruit and Zappa on top. Well, in one game only nearly everything can happen, so I gave my best guesses from a statistic points of view... Sandro
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