Author: Zheng Zhixian
Date: 00:28:09 08/19/05
Go up one level in this thread
On August 19, 2005 at 03:21:38, Sandro Necchi wrote: >On August 19, 2005 at 03:02:43, Zheng Zhixian wrote: > >>On August 19, 2005 at 02:38:30, Jonas Cohonas wrote: > >OK, here are some explanations of my guesses: > >> >>>>Crafty - Fute_MT 1-0 > >Crafty is simply too strong to get any other score. > >>>>Shredder - Jonny 1-0 > >We should be able to get a small edge in the opening and then win. > >>>>IsiChess MMX - The Baron 0.5-0.5 > >These 2 programs are about equal in strenght, so this is the most guessable >score. > >>>>Diep - Fruit 0-1 > >Fruit is strong and Diep seems weaker this year, so this is the most reliable >guess. > >>>>The Crazy Bishop - Deep Sjeng 0-1 > >Deep Sjeng is stronger than most people think and has a very good opening book! > >>>>Zappa - Deep Junior 0.5-0.5 > >Zappa is strong and so Junior. Junior book may be known and something prepared >on it. So this score is 50% reliable (20% Zappa wins and 30% DJ wins). > >>>>> >>>>Round 8 >>>>> >>>>Fute_MT - Diep 0-1 > >Diep is stronger and had some bad luck, cannot believe it will not win this one. > >>>>Jonny - Crafty 0.5-0.5 > >Jonny is an outgoing mine and should be able to score a good result anytime. >This is my best guess. 50% draw (15% Jonny wins and 35% Crafty wins) > >>>>The Baron - Shredder 0-1 > >From a statistic points of views we already had our bad luck, so we should have >no problems on this one. > >>>>Zappa - IsiChess MMX 0.5-0.5 > >IsiChess is not going to loose all games and seldom is a dangerouls opponent. I >believe this is best guess. 60% draw (5% IsiChess win and 35% Zappa wins). > >>>>Fruit - The Crazy Bishop 1-0 > >Fruit is solid and clearly stronger, so it should win. > >>>>Deep Junior - Deep Sjeng 0-1 > >I believe Deep Sjeng will give a bad surprise to DJ. This is my best guess. 60% >Deep Sjeng win (20% draw and 20% DJ win). > >>>>> >>>>> >>>>>ICC is interesting,there are lots of kibitzes,I'll stick with ICC,stopped >>>>>playchess,broadcasting sux. >>> >>>It is interesting how you have your closest rival drawing and losing, where most >>>people would give DJ two wins here, wishful thinking perhaps :) >> >>I rather fancy Zappa chances. It seems to play like a Tiger whenever it's >>operated by it's author. Look at the last 2 CCTS! > >Zappa did score better than one thougth...it is expectable some bad games from a >statistics points of view...however it is a strong program. Yes, it's like Zappa has being having 6 heads in 6 coin tosses, it's high time for the coin to turn up tails* :P >> >> >>> >>>Jonas >> >>Well if he was truly biased he would have given predictions that conspire to >>have Shredder end up equal first with 6.0 (not sure of the tiebreaks) :) >> >>As it is, it ends up with Fruit and Zappa on top. > >Well, in one game only nearly everything can happen, so I gave my best guesses >from a statistic points of view... It's very hard to tell, if the relatively poor results of say Diep is a result of luck or something systematic that points to weaker program. I'm guessing it can beat fruit. >Sandro *Just kidding.
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