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Subject: Re: Round 7&8 anyone?

Author: Jonas Cohonas

Date: 00:50:13 08/19/05

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>>Well if he was truly biased he would have given predictions that conspire to
>>have Shredder end up equal first with 6.0 (not sure of the tiebreaks) :)
>>
>>As it is, it ends up with Fruit and Zappa on top.
>
>Well, in one game only nearly everything can happen, so I gave my best guesses
>from a statistic points of view...
>
>Sandro

I wasn't questioning all your predictions, only the ones involving you closest
rival :)
Actually if you look at my predictions you will see that we agree here and
there.

Your last point above i find very interesting, if you look at it from a
statistical point of view, then i find it very hard to come up with any logic
that supports Deep Sjeng beating Deep Junior (with deep sjeng having the black
pieces even). From a statistical point of view this one should be a pretty clear
1-0 for Junior, well like you said much can happen and the games are pretty open
so i wouldn't be terribly surprised if Zappa draws and Deep Sjeng wins, but i
think the probability of Junior winning both games is higher.

Mind you, Juniors loss to Crafty was it's first loss in 22 consecutive world
championship games...

Regards
Jonas



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