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Subject: Re: Round 7&8 anyone?

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 00:57:48 08/19/05

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On August 19, 2005 at 03:21:38, Sandro Necchi wrote:

>On August 19, 2005 at 03:02:43, Zheng Zhixian wrote:
>
>>On August 19, 2005 at 02:38:30, Jonas Cohonas wrote:
>
>OK, here are some explanations of my guesses:
>
>>
>>>>Crafty - Fute_MT              1-0
>
>Crafty is simply too strong to get any other score.
>
>>>>Shredder - Jonny              1-0
>
>We should be able to get a small edge in the opening and then win.
>
>>>>IsiChess MMX - The Baron      0.5-0.5
>
>These 2 programs are about equal in strenght, so this is the most guessable
>score.
>
>>>>Diep - Fruit                  0-1
>
>Fruit is strong and Diep seems weaker this year, so this is the most reliable
>guess.
>
>>>>The Crazy Bishop - Deep Sjeng 0-1
>
>Deep Sjeng is stronger than most people think and has a very good opening book!
>
>>>>Zappa - Deep Junior           0.5-0.5
>
>Zappa is strong and so Junior. Junior book may be known and something prepared
>on it. So this score is 50% reliable (20% Zappa wins and 30% DJ wins).
>
>>>>>
>>>>Round 8
>>>>>
>>>>Fute_MT - Diep                0-1
>
>Diep is stronger and had some bad luck, cannot believe it will not win this one.
>
>>>>Jonny - Crafty                0.5-0.5
>
>Jonny is an outgoing mine and should be able to score a good result anytime.
>This is my best guess. 50% draw (15% Jonny wins and 35% Crafty wins)
>
>>>>The Baron - Shredder          0-1
>
>From a statistic points of views we already had our bad luck, so we should have
>no problems on this one.

I expect shredder to win because it is stronger than the baron but luck has no
memory so bad luck in previous rounds does not mean that you can expect good
luck based on it.

Uri



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