Author: Sandro Necchi
Date: 05:39:59 08/19/05
Go up one level in this thread
On August 19, 2005 at 03:57:48, Uri Blass wrote: >On August 19, 2005 at 03:21:38, Sandro Necchi wrote: > >>On August 19, 2005 at 03:02:43, Zheng Zhixian wrote: >> >>>On August 19, 2005 at 02:38:30, Jonas Cohonas wrote: >> >>OK, here are some explanations of my guesses: >> >>> >>>>>Crafty - Fute_MT 1-0 >> >>Crafty is simply too strong to get any other score. >> >>>>>Shredder - Jonny 1-0 >> >>We should be able to get a small edge in the opening and then win. >> >>>>>IsiChess MMX - The Baron 0.5-0.5 >> >>These 2 programs are about equal in strenght, so this is the most guessable >>score. >> >>>>>Diep - Fruit 0-1 >> >>Fruit is strong and Diep seems weaker this year, so this is the most reliable >>guess. >> >>>>>The Crazy Bishop - Deep Sjeng 0-1 >> >>Deep Sjeng is stronger than most people think and has a very good opening book! >> >>>>>Zappa - Deep Junior 0.5-0.5 >> >>Zappa is strong and so Junior. Junior book may be known and something prepared >>on it. So this score is 50% reliable (20% Zappa wins and 30% DJ wins). >> >>>>>> >>>>>Round 8 >>>>>> >>>>>Fute_MT - Diep 0-1 >> >>Diep is stronger and had some bad luck, cannot believe it will not win this one. >> >>>>>Jonny - Crafty 0.5-0.5 >> >>Jonny is an outgoing mine and should be able to score a good result anytime. >>This is my best guess. 50% draw (15% Jonny wins and 35% Crafty wins) >> >>>>>The Baron - Shredder 0-1 >> >>From a statistic points of views we already had our bad luck, so we should have >>no problems on this one. > >I expect shredder to win because it is stronger than the baron but luck has no >memory so bad luck in previous rounds does not mean that you can expect good >luck based on it. OK, but we cannot expect bad luck always...either...reasonably there should be a balance... In Italy we say that luck is blind, but unluckiness see very well!:-) > >Uri Sandro
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