Author: Uri Blass
Date: 00:12:46 08/21/05
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On August 21, 2005 at 02:43:07, Sandro Necchi wrote: >On August 20, 2005 at 18:53:25, Uri Blass wrote: > >>On August 20, 2005 at 17:06:56, Jonas Cohonas wrote: >> >>>>The average Joe is not important and I guess that there are going to be >>>>something like 10,000 buyers who are going to buy zappa for 50$ only as uci >>>>engine with no interface in the next year in case that it is sold. >>>> >>>>If 10$ of it is money that the programmer is going to earn then he can earn >>>>100,000$ for one year. >>>> >>>>Uri >>> >>>10.000 buyers?? i think that is waaay to high, i think it might sell 100-200 >>>tops on a yearly basis. Also 50$ is way to high too for just the engine, 29.95$ >>>max for that. >>> >>>Where did you get 10.000 from? you do realize that only the readers of this >>>forum, the winboard forum and a couple of others are potential buyers of an >>>engine like Zappa and out of these only a few hardcore testers and fanatics like >>>myself would actually buy just an engine. >>> >>>Well maybe i am wrong, but that figure Uri seems incredible at best. >>> >>>Jonas >> >>I do not think that only the readers of this forum and similiar forums are >>potential buyers. >> >>I have a friend who does not read these forums but I tell him if there is some >>new interesting engine to buy and he may use them in his correspondence games. >> >>Uri > >Uri, > >the market got quite smaller and smaller, so one can expect to sell some 2,000 >to 3,000 units if distribution is set well and price is correct. > >Unfortunately most people wants free chess programs or believe what they have is >more then enough. > >I always told/wrote in computers chess magazines that this is a wrong approch >because a computer chess program should be considered as a sparring partner and >the strongest it is the best you can benefict, but most people do not want to >learn as they prefer to win regardless how strong they are. > >Sandro Thanks for the information. I guess that your information is based on experience in the last years so you know better than me. Note that I guess that the number of buyers will be even smaller relative to last years unless the commercial programmers can release programs that is at better than the best free programs on one processor and I guess that at least Junior and Shredder have a problem because Fabien told us that Fruit of WCCC still has search bugs and it is going to be improved so if you want to release new program in a few months then even the being slightly better than the level of fruit WCCC is not enough to be better than fruit of that time. Uri
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