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Subject: Re: An Experiment that disproves Hyatt's 1000X NPS Theory

Author: Peter Kappler

Date: 22:07:19 09/20/05

Go up one level in this thread


>>
>>What's the point?  Lets turn the tables and say that the "Fredkin II Prize" is
>>for producing two 2750+ results in a 12-round human round robin.  Then I can say
>> that Deep Thought/Blue never did this.
>
>the point is that if you play in enough tournaments, you will get one "good"
>result for every "bad" result.  This is a normal curve, and some finish on the
>right side of the bell curve, some finish on the left.  Play enough games and
>the right and left average out to the mean...
>
>25 isn't enough, but it is _way_ better than using a single 8 or 10 or 12 round
>tournament...
>

Yeah, but I said *two* 12-round tourneys.

And I'm really not trying to cherry-pick the best results.  Shredder has played
in 4 of these events.  Pick *any* two and you will get a tournament rating over
2650.  Better yet, take all 4 for a performance rating over 2700.

-Peter




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