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Subject: Re: Ayito only got lucky on the first game vs Spike 1.0a

Author: Tord Romstad

Date: 16:23:33 09/26/05

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Hi Jaime!

On September 26, 2005 at 19:14:40, Jaime Benito de Valle Ruiz wrote:

>Of course it was luck! Spike is at least 400-500 ELO stronger than Ayito.

There is no doubt that Ayito was lucky in the first game, but I don't
believe that the difference between Spike and Ayito is anywhere near
as big as you claim.  Have a look at the ratings from the UEL list:

  2 Spike 1.0a Mainz                2592   28  28   404    57.7 %   2538   33.7
%
 36 Ayito 0.2.994                   2338   47  47   176    41.8 %   2396   18.8
%

The difference is only 254, and even with a pessimistic (from Ayito's point
of view) interpretation of the error bars it is no bigger than 330.

Moreover, Ayito seems to be improving alarmingly fast.  Continue like
this for another 6-12 months, and you will crush us all!  :-)

Tord



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