Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 11:25:35 10/06/05
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On October 06, 2005 at 12:51:19, Chris Taylor wrote: >On October 06, 2005 at 12:08:19, Kurt Utzinger wrote: > >>Hi Chris >>Thank you for the games. The result of your >>match is as expected -:) >>Regards >>Kurt > > >Next up is Shredder 8 v Fruit 2.2... Have a guess at the final score..20 games >60' + 15"............ > >I wont hold you to it! From here: http://www.husvankempen.de/nunn/rangliste.html We have this: 1 Fruit 2.2 2779 12 12 2342 68.8 % 2641 32.4 % 3 Shredder 9 2750 10 10 3362 67.2 % 2626 30.7 % From here: http://web.telia.com/~u85924109/ssdf/list.htm We have this: Rating + - Games Won Av.opp 1 Shredder 9.0 UCI 256MB Athlon 1200 MHz 2821 28 -27 704 67% 2697 2 Shredder 8.0 CB 256MB Athlon 1200 MHz 2805 23 -22 1115 71% 2648 So a fair guess as to the Elo difference is 29+16 = 45 Elo Win expectency for a difference of 45 points is 0.4356 So I guess 8.5 For Shredder 8 and 11.5 for Fruit 2.2 Of course, it is still a wild guess, because thost tests will not be under the same conditions as your test. But an educated wild guess.
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