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Subject: Re: Computer accounts DO cause ratings inflation

Author: Tim Mirabile

Date: 10:17:59 03/17/99

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On March 17, 1999 at 09:25:35, James T. Walker wrote:

>On March 17, 1999 at 08:56:49, Albert Silver wrote:
>
>
><snip>
>The problem is that 500 points were spread out in the pool and
>>they don't properly represent an increase in strength on the opponents' part.
>>When I get back, I don't go to 2800, but a bit higher as I am now playing the
>>same opponents, but with slightly higher ratings.
>>
><snip>
>                                  Albert Silver
>Hello Albert,
>This all sounds reasonable to me.  One cure might be to allow only one
>"Registered Program" per computer account.
>Jim Walker

Actually, it's wrong.  In a closed pool, everything should eventually balance
out again as the program rises back to where it used to be, since the rating
formula is symmetrical.  In reality, there should still be some deflation as
slightly overrated players drop out and never give back their points.  But the
natural deflationary effect of new players coming in low and then improving
would be slightly mitigated as they will achieve slightly higher provisional
ratings than normal.



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