Author: Ed Schröder
Date: 21:34:48 03/20/99
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>Posted by Paulo Soares on March 20, 1999 at 23:04:55: >Mark, > >In my opinion these games do not say what it goes to be of >chesscomputer has ten years (see my born for Ed). I forgot >to place in the Born for Ed that hashtable will be very bigger. > >Best regards, > >Paulo Soares, from Brazil. The hash table size in the CHESS 2010 experiment is indeed a very unclear item. For the CHESS 2010 experiment I use 4 x Pentium-II 266, 64 Mb PC's and 2 x Pentium-II 450, 128 Mb. My guess is that for some programs this is not enough for the 40/40:00 time control. Heck, I can't even tell for my own program. The "2010" formula is more or less based on the fact that every year (single) processors become faster with a factor of about 0.75. Memory will also go up nobody knows with how much but it will have a positive effect to the speed increase too. Add up the software improvements and I do think the factor 20 I have chosen is not such a bad one. Summery, just guessing...... and for what it is worth....... - 11 years x 0.75 gives a Pentium at 4000 Mhz (8 times faster) - Hash table 64/128 Mb --> 1/2/4 giga byte --> 50% speed increase? (makes it factor 12) - More intelligent chess software --> factor=20 Anyway these were my thoughts to play these games at the 40/40:00 level to emulate tournament games (40/2:00) in the year 2010. There is another BIG unknown item. IMO we are not far away from the point that multi-processor PC's will become standard and general available at normal prices. If that is true chess programs enter a whole new area. Ed Schroder
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