Author: Ernst Walet
Date: 13:12:00 03/22/99
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On March 21, 1999 at 00:34:48, Ed Schröder wrote: >>Posted by Paulo Soares on March 20, 1999 at 23:04:55: > >>Mark, >> >>In my opinion these games do not say what it goes to be of >>chesscomputer has ten years (see my born for Ed). I forgot >>to place in the Born for Ed that hashtable will be very bigger. >> >>Best regards, >> >>Paulo Soares, from Brazil. > >The hash table size in the CHESS 2010 experiment is indeed a very >unclear item. > >For the CHESS 2010 experiment I use 4 x Pentium-II 266, 64 Mb PC's >and 2 x Pentium-II 450, 128 Mb. > >My guess is that for some programs this is not enough for the 40/40:00 >time control. Heck, I can't even tell for my own program. > >The "2010" formula is more or less based on the fact that every year >(single) processors become faster with a factor of about 0.75. Memory >will also go up nobody knows with how much but it will have a positive >effect to the speed increase too. Add up the software improvements >and I do think the factor 20 I have chosen is not such a bad one. > >Summery, just guessing...... and for what it is worth....... > >- 11 years x 0.75 gives a Pentium at 4000 Mhz (8 times faster) >- Hash table 64/128 Mb --> 1/2/4 giga byte --> 50% speed increase? (makes it >factor 12) >- More intelligent chess software --> factor=20 > >Anyway these were my thoughts to play these games at the 40/40:00 level >to emulate tournament games (40/2:00) in the year 2010. > >There is another BIG unknown item. IMO we are not far away from the >point that multi-processor PC's will become standard and general available >at normal prices. If that is true chess programs enter a whole new area. > >Ed Schroder Dear Ed, I have two additional questions. 1. Shouldn't you give the 266MHz/64MB machines a longer time control to make up for the speed difference with the 450MHz/128MB PC's? 2. It looks like you use auto232 for these games, does this mean that you have solved the problems with auto232? Kind regards, Ernst-J.
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