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Subject: Re: Field for WCCC 9

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 05:35:59 03/23/99

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On March 22, 1999 at 22:56:30, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On March 22, 1999 at 13:06:59, Peter McKenzie wrote:
>
>>On March 22, 1999 at 05:41:01, Bert Seifriz wrote:
>>
>>>On March 22, 1999 at 04:58:36, Peter McKenzie wrote:
>>>
>>>>Chess Wizard, the French Champion I think, isn't there.
>>>>No Deep Blue either, no great surprise IBM but disappointing all the same.
>>>>
>>>A big surprise for me is that people cannot stop asking for DEEP BLUE.
>>>I have read at least 50 times around here and in other newsgroups
>>>that DEEP BLUE's hardware was disassembled into single parts
>>>which lie rusting in a dark storage room with mothballs and spiderwebs.
>>>Why has this fact still not reached the highest mountain top
>>>and the deepest valley? So you will never see DEEP BLUE again!
>>
>>Deep Blue, or more likely 'Baby Blue' could easily be reassembled.  I mean Baby
>>Blue, which I think is basically just a work station with a single board
>>containing four of the special purpose chess chips, would be trivial for them to
>>put together.  It would still contain a MASSIVE amount of chess horsepower.
>>
>>I guess the reason they aren't showing up is that IBM doesn't want to risk any
>>negative publicity (like last time when they lost to Fritz).
>How interesting is a contest for second place?  None of the other programs are
>in the same league with the IBM hardware horror.  A chess program contest with
>Deep Blue included would be rather anti-climactic.  An auto race with one
>Ferarri and a bunch of bicycles.  I doubt very much that there would be any fear
>of failure.
>

actually there would be a "good" chance of failure in at least one game.  Assume
they would win 90% of the games against any one opponent.  Then we would say
their probability of winning any round is .9...  What is the probability that
they would win all 7 rounds?  .9^7, which is .48 or lets round to .5...  ie
there is only a coin-toss chance that they would win all 7 games.  And _any_
loss looks bad, as we know from 1995.  :)




>When I was in the military I ran a lot.  I had the fastest time on my base at
>Patrick AFB for the mile and a half by a good margin.  My CO wanted me to run in
>the base track meet.  I could do a half mile in a little under two minutes then.
> I found out that the competition was a bunch of forty year old guys who I could
>run circles around [I was 20].  I did not even show up because I would rather
>just let one of them win it.  Of course, it would be possible for me to fall
>down or something like that and lose.  But I did not stay away for fear of
>losing.  I just thought it would be stupid to race them.
>
>>>
>>>What interests me: where did you get the participants list from?
>>
>>It was posted to all participants by the ICCA.
>>
>>>Kind regards, Bert



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