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Subject: Re: Rybka ....I also bought it

Author: Stuart Cracraft

Date: 11:57:00 12/17/05

Go up one level in this thread


On December 16, 2005 at 21:28:45, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On December 16, 2005 at 20:12:22, Stuart Cracraft wrote:
>
>>On December 16, 2005 at 20:10:33, Mike Byrne wrote:
>>
>>>I believe it's for real.
>>>
>>>So far, after 13 games against Shredder 8
>>>
>>>4 wins, 1 loss and 8 draws.
>>>
>>>Game 10/10
>>>
>>>Only 1 loss against Shreddder 8 after 13 games is unbelievable.  I never would
>>>have expected an engine like this to come out of nowhere to be this strong.
>>>
>>>A real paradigm shift.
>>>
>>>Congrats,
>>>
>>>Michael
>>
>>So far 2.5/4 against Ruffian (2.0/3) and Spike (0.5/3) in a two-game
>>round-robin with Arena at 5 seconds per move. Small sample size is
>>statistically insignificant.
>>
>>What is the size of a Round Robin that gives greater confidence?
>>
>>Any statisticians out there?
>
>After 30 games, you start to get a good idea, if it is lopsided.
>After 300 games, you have some decent confidence.
>After 3000 games, you know the answer.  But nobody has the patience for that.

Like that.

I remember Kittinger saying things like that too...

Stuart




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