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Subject: Re: Predictions 2006. Post them now and i will repost predictions end 20

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 05:44:31 12/19/05

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On December 19, 2005 at 07:50:01, Ryan B. wrote:

>On December 19, 2005 at 06:09:19, Joseph Ciarrochi wrote:
>
>>Hi, folks, if we are in a engine Renaissance, then the changes next year could
>>be amazing...
>>
>>
>>It might be fun to make a few predictions and then repost them at the end of
>>next year, and see who got it right?
>>
>>Here are my guesses of how strong engines will be, rank ordered based on next to
>>no evidence.  (the start elo based on cegt 2627; assumes single processor, 32
>>bit processor)
>>
>>1. Rbyka 32 bit  2880 (+75 points) (or can this break 2900)
>>2. Fruit   2820 (+50 points)
>>3. Toga II.1  2808 (+50 points)
>>
>>tie for fourth
>>4. shredder 10 (+40 points
>>4. Fritz (maybe 20 points improvement, if any)
>>
>>And Zappa is the wild card. It could appear anywhere.
>>
>>
>>Please reply your predictions if your interested!
>>
>>best
>>Joseph
>
>
>I am absolutely sure Fruit will gain more than 50 points by the end of 2006.
>SMP alone should be good for at least 30 elo.

I think that SMP is not counted as improvement in the engine.
I think about the level of it on my A3000( 2 ghz) for comparison.

Uri



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