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Subject: seems the new messias was announced by johannes

Author: Thorsten Czub

Date: 06:43:05 12/30/05

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When should we expect a major breakthrough in science ?
When will a lone developer 'step through the looking-glass' ?
Who will this developer be ?

The answer to the above two questions is of course whenever the old, classical
programmers say 'we've reached perfection, there is no way to improve'; when the
old paradigm says 'there is only one way'; when all the developers produce
roughly equal results.


I call this type of search Artificial Stupidity (AS). Since all the current
programs operate in this way, ELO grading lists and inter-program tournaments
are no more than a reflection of the partially-sighted playing the blind, whose
AS algorithm is most efficient, but it is not
chess.


To play chess without knowledge of chess is not to play chess, strong players
will always beat such programs with superior knowledge.
The classical program play chess as if it were the First World War in the
trenches, no concept of mobility, no concept of cooperation of forces, no
concept of knocking the enemy off balance with well timed blows; just material
and pawn structure - if it plays boring chess, that's why - if it blunders
against club players, that's why. It understands nothing of consequence.

The philosophers of classical search claim that search finds everything and
knows everything -

The 'looking-glass' program can calculate the attack strength FROM ITS
EVALUATION FUNCTION. So, without actually finding mate or material win, the
looking-glass program has the dynamic knowledge of the attack.

The looking-glass program has dynamic knowledge from its evaluation function.
The looking-glass program is a planner, the classical program is a finder. The
looking-glass program is pro-active, it makes plans to exploit the position; the
classical program is re-active, it waits for a mistake by its opponent and then
exploits it.

Who will be the developer ?
===========================
To answer our third question - 'who will be the developer ?', it is  necessary
to look at the personality of the classical programmers and  their hangers-on.
These programmers are characterised by a failure to  show their emotions (do
they ever smile), fear (just watch them  operating at tournaments), refusal to
discuss how their programs work  (just try talking to them) , aversion to taking
risks. It has always  surprised me that the 'top' programmers are not good chess
players. The  hangers-on only make a little money, they jealously support their
chosen proteges, and viciously attack their opponents. The hangers-on  know
little, pretend to know much and are governed by fear and greed.
Overall the impression is of a static, non-risk taking, hostile, World  War I
environment. The new paradigm will come from an unexpected  quarter. From a
developer with extrovert personality, accustomed to  taking risks, a developer
with chess knowledge, probably someone  unpopular with the classical paradigm
supporters, certainly unpopular
with the hangers-on and computer chess entourage. This developer will  have been
and certainly will be furiously attacked by the classicists.

The new paradigm differs from the classical by one simple conceptual switch.
The classical paradigm makes fast and simple evaluation at each node and
generates intelligence from the search tree. The classical programmer looks for
ways to make his search more efficient and his evaluation function simpler and
faster. The 'looking-glass' paradigm makes slow and complex evaluations at each
node and prefers to prune the search tree by use of this evaluation function. In
this model search is to be avoided
unless absolutely necessary. Thus the search tree is not central to the new
paradigm, rather the search tree is used to find details overlooked, or mistakes
made, by the evaluation function. The 'looking-glass' paradigm has the
components of human thought - detailed, intuitive evaluation, with search
carried out to ensure that the program is not
falling into any traps. I estimate that the difference in nodes per second
between and extreme classical program and a 'looking-glass' program will be of
the order of 20-30 times, sufficient to give the classical program an extra two
plies of search (albeit with reduced knowledge at the nodes). Thus the increased
knowledge of the 'looking-glass' program has to compensate for this apparently
reduced search depth. The looking-glass strategy necessitates much programming
effort, and requires the programmer to have an exceptionally good knowledge of
chess strategy and tactics. When such a program is first
being developed it will constantly be outplayed by classical programs, for
classical programs see everything within their horizon and the newly developing
'looking-glass' program cannot yet hope to know sufficient tactical and
positional themes to compete, but our experience shows that once breakthrough (a
knowledge o f sufficient chess themes to compensate for reduced search depth)
occurs the looking-glass program begins to
consistently outplay the classical programs. Further advantages emerge from the
high level of chess knowledge in the evaluation function - better move selection
and move sorting, resulting in more efficient search - more possibilities of
accurate forward pruning, resulting in smaller search trees. With increases in
tree size (from faster hardware), these advantages are geometric.

The classicists maintain the computer chess dichotomy of B-search (which I
understand means pruning occurs at all levels of the tree) or A-B Search (which
apparently means that part of the search is full width).
The looking-glass programmer condemns this dichotomy as meaningless.
The new paradigm makes the issue clear: chess programs either have simple
evaluation and generate intelligence through search, or have complex evaluations
and use limited search as a backup to cover oversights and mistakes. All chess
programs prune in one way or another, but looking-glass programs, with complex
evaluation, are able to prune more.

Of course, the issue is not so black and white. There is a grey scale between
the extreme looking-glass (human play style) and extreme classical style. At the
classical end of the scale the B or A-B dichotomy tries to position the program
on the scale, but basically classicists believe in search. At the looking-glass
end of the scale the issue is how much does the evaluation function allow us to
prune or extend - how many risks can we take based on our evaluation function ?
Basically looking-glass programmers believe in evaluation.

Von Manstein
============
If, as is said, chess is war, then there must be lessons to be learnt from
military history. I have already alluded to the static, boring First World War
style of the classical programs (and their programmers !). The opposite style
can be found in several histories, Rommel in North Africa, Alexander the Great
against Darius, Von Manstein in Russia. Alexander, despite being outnumbered
many times, concentrated the powerful mobile part of his army, attacked the
stronger Persians, cut through and went straight for Darius himself. The bulk of
Darius's army was not engaged, but the battle was decisively won - a classic
king attack. Von Manstein (and Rommel) both understood that the power of the
outnumbered German army lay in superior staff work, concentration of forces,
striking blows to knock the enemy off balance. The looking-glass chess program
must contain knowledge of these dynamic elements; and it is only the
looking-glass program that has the knowledge and evaluation time available to
calculate such ephemerals.

Tal function
============
To find a chess player who understood the king attack, the concentration of
forces, the striking of blows to unbalance the opponent, one need look no
further than Michael Tal, Russian grandmaster, and player of such romantic and
swashbuckling style that his games continue to thrill all lovers of chess.

http://www.thorstenczub.de/complcss2.html



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