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Subject: Re: let the man make some money

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 17:16:03 01/10/06

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On January 10, 2006 at 18:23:11, Uri Blass wrote:

>On January 10, 2006 at 15:56:37, Dann Corbit wrote:
>
>>On January 10, 2006 at 15:33:33, Joseph Ciarrochi wrote:
>>
>>>even if vasik aggressively advertises rybka, i think that it fine. He has
>>>delivered a great product and i hope that enough people recognize this and buy
>>>it, so that he can keep developing it.
>>>
>>>my fear is that these talented programers will leave the chess programing,
>>>becasue they simply can't afford it.
>>
>>I think that everyone who does chess programming does it for the love of the
>>art.
>>
>>Absolutely for sure, they can make more money with their talent doing something
>>else.
>
>I am not sure.
>
>You assume that somebody with the talent to write a strong chess program has
>also always the talent to earn money from other programming jobs.

It does not have to be a programming job.

>I am not sure about it.
>
>The knowledge that is needed about programming to write strong chess program is
>limited(for example you do not need to know nothing about graphics) and a
>programmer of strong chess program may not be the best choice for different
>programming tasks.

Bad programmers can write a good chess program.  But if so, they are smart
enough to earn a lot of money doing something.  And I am fairly sure that they
can earn more than they could at chess programming.

I think the only chess programmers with potential to be rich are J.D.K. and
whoever else can get hooked up with ChessMaster.

Assuming that the 600K units/year estimate elsewhere is correct (and considering
their sales claims for CM it ought to answer pretty nearly) if the royalty were
only 50 cents per sale, that is still $300K/year.
Even at a royalty of 25 cents, it would amount to 150K/year.

With some other company and assuming 10K sales per year you would need $15 per
sale to equal it.  Unlikely scenario.

Now, if you could achieve the same shelf space as CM with a superior product,
you might equal it.  But it would take a couple million in startup money for
advertizing, etc. and I doubt if any venture capitalist would want to take that
risk.



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