Author: Uri Blass
Date: 14:18:22 01/11/06
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On January 11, 2006 at 16:27:50, Sandro Necchi wrote: >On January 10, 2006 at 07:28:55, Gabor Szots wrote: > >>Question: Which one of Fruit, Rybka and Shredder will be strongest at their next >>non-beta release? >> >>My bet is Fruit. Here is why. >> >>Fruit made giant leaps in the past. Why should it fade now? >>Rybka hid in the dark for a long time and emerged as the greatest. But I don't >>think it still has the potential for a great improvement. Somme search tweaks >>and some more endgame knowledge will translate to more than 50 Elos. >>Shredder 9 was only moderately improved compared to Shredder 8 (if my assessment >>based on what I have read is right). And it is old. Without some new >>revolutionary ideas it simply cannot gain too much. >> >>So once again: 1. Fruit, 2. Rybka, 3. Shredder. >> >>What do yoou think? >> >>Gábor > >well, recently we saw that what we thought was hard to be seen it became >reality. > >Now, my prediction is that in less than 2 years we will have more than 5 >programs scoring close to 3000 in the SSDF list and one of them will be >Shredder. > >Now more details: > >1. I expect Rybka 1.2 to get a SSDF Elo about 100 points above Shredder 9 >(2918?) and to improve at least 50 points in the following year. > >2. I expect Fruit 3.0 (?) to be about 50 points stronger than 2.2.1 and to >become available late March or April > >3. I expect Shredder 10 to be about 150 points better than 9.0 and to become >available at the end of March and to get 50 points more in about one year... > >4. I expect Gandalf to increase as well and to be close to those programs. > >5. I expect a similar gain by Junior too increasing more than 100 points over >9.0 and to become available before the end of 2006 > >6. I expect Hiarcs to increase further 50-80 Elo in one year or so. > >7. I expect Fritz to gain 50 more points in one year or so. > >Why am I so optimistic? > >Because I know how much needs can do to reach goals! > >Sandro I am more optimistic than you about Rybka1.2 and fruit3.0. Uri
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