Author: Sandro Necchi
Date: 22:52:17 01/11/06
Go up one level in this thread
On January 11, 2006 at 17:18:22, Uri Blass wrote: >On January 11, 2006 at 16:27:50, Sandro Necchi wrote: > >>On January 10, 2006 at 07:28:55, Gabor Szots wrote: >> >>>Question: Which one of Fruit, Rybka and Shredder will be strongest at their next >>>non-beta release? >>> >>>My bet is Fruit. Here is why. >>> >>>Fruit made giant leaps in the past. Why should it fade now? >>>Rybka hid in the dark for a long time and emerged as the greatest. But I don't >>>think it still has the potential for a great improvement. Somme search tweaks >>>and some more endgame knowledge will translate to more than 50 Elos. >>>Shredder 9 was only moderately improved compared to Shredder 8 (if my assessment >>>based on what I have read is right). And it is old. Without some new >>>revolutionary ideas it simply cannot gain too much. >>> >>>So once again: 1. Fruit, 2. Rybka, 3. Shredder. >>> >>>What do yoou think? >>> >>>Gábor >> >>well, recently we saw that what we thought was hard to be seen it became >>reality. >> >>Now, my prediction is that in less than 2 years we will have more than 5 >>programs scoring close to 3000 in the SSDF list and one of them will be >>Shredder. >> >>Now more details: >> >>1. I expect Rybka 1.2 to get a SSDF Elo about 100 points above Shredder 9 >>(2918?) and to improve at least 50 points in the following year. >> >>2. I expect Fruit 3.0 (?) to be about 50 points stronger than 2.2.1 and to >>become available late March or April >> >>3. I expect Shredder 10 to be about 150 points better than 9.0 and to become >>available at the end of March and to get 50 points more in about one year... >> >>4. I expect Gandalf to increase as well and to be close to those programs. >> >>5. I expect a similar gain by Junior too increasing more than 100 points over >>9.0 and to become available before the end of 2006 >> >>6. I expect Hiarcs to increase further 50-80 Elo in one year or so. >> >>7. I expect Fritz to gain 50 more points in one year or so. >> >>Why am I so optimistic? >> >>Because I know how much needs can do to reach goals! >> >>Sandro > >I am more optimistic than you about Rybka1.2 and fruit3.0. Well, maybe Fruit could earn up to 80 more points, but I do not think more than that. I have made some hundreds games with Rybka and I think I have a more or less correct estimate of this program which is really a great program! This program is/will force the competitors to improve a lot! > >Uri Sandro
This page took 0 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.