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Subject: Re: Fruit, shredder 10, rybka....all at the same level in 3 months.

Author: Joseph Ciarrochi

Date: 04:21:29 01/16/06

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>
>Also - it goes without saying, but I love it when testers play _huge_ game sets.
>No sample size is too big. :)

Even thought i teach statistics, I still have trouble resisting making
inferences from samples under 100. In psychology (my field) we often don't get
sample sizes bigger than this. i've gotten into some bad habits.:(

I'll keep runing tournies.

Hopefully, others will post their results and we will have a clearer picture.

best
J



>
>Vas
>
>>This is not to criticize vasek of course. He can't really be expected to provide
>>big strength improvements, in two months (especially when he has to do extra
>>work to get beta ready for full release). Indeed, Fabien i don't think made huge
>>increases in fruit in only two months.
>>
>>I could be wrong about the amount of improvement of the newest beta. Please post
>>your results (I am motivated to be wrong, as I want rybka to be stronger!!)
>>
>>
>>So......Has rybka's massive success made us overly optimistic about how much
>>engines are going to improve in the next year? I have heard people say rybka
>>will be 100 points stronger in its full release. I am now betting it is no more
>>than 20 or 30 points stronger. This is no reflection of vasek. There is only so
>>much he can do in a couple of months (and I think he is delivering a fantastic
>>product, well worth the price).
>>
>>
>>so if rybka gains 30 points, and shredder and fruit gain about 70, they will all
>>be of about equal strength and fritz will be in fourth place.
>>
>>
>>Please post evidence to prove me wrong (that rybka beta 10d has not gained
>>strength). maybe their are stronger configurations then i am using (default).
>>
>>
>>best
>>Joseph



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