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Subject: Re: Statistics... The Magic Numbers W=55% B=45%

Author: chandler yergin

Date: 03:49:47 01/29/06

Go up one level in this thread


Coincidence?   I think not.
You decide.

Engine vs Engine Tournaments   CEGT
What are the results?
 "Computer Engine Grande Tournaments"
Last Posting 2005 showed a Total of 68319 games
had been played. How did it come out?

White Wins       1-0      25715   (37.6%)
Black Wins        0-1      19580   (28.7%)
Draws           1/2 1/2    23024    (33.7%)

White Perf.   =  54.5%
Black Perf.    =  45.5%

What are the Stats by ECO Code?
Here you go-
http://web.telia.com/~u85924109/ssdf/

http://home.interact.se/~w100107/openings.htm
OPENINGS

"Based on 18 947 games I've looked at some statistics.
The score for white is 55-45 and an average game is 70 moves.
I've divided the games in most played openings:"
For the Comps; games  by ECO Code:
ECO A         =  9068     (13.3%)
ECO B         =  17619     (25.8%)
ECO C         =  10987     (16.1%)
ECO D         =  14939     (21.9%)
ECO E         =  12718     (10.6%)

Perf.  White   =  54.5%
Perf. Black     =  45.5%


What if a million or so games have been played?

In my Mega DATABASE 99 Total Games Played  =  1114332
Results:

White Wins         1-0        413653   =    (37%)
Black Wins         0-1       318394   =    (28%)
Draws              1/2 1/2    381453  =     (35%)

White Perf.       =   54%
Black Perf.       =   46%



What if more tests were run and games played you say?

Here are the Stats from Big Database 2003
Total Games          =        2311756
1-0              =  883180   =  38%
0-1              =  700303   =  30%
1/2  1/2         =  726673   =  32%
White perf.    =  54%
Black perf.    =  46%

There's those Magic Numbers again...

Taken at random

TWIC 578  1612 Games
1-0        624 games        total 55%
0-1        478 games        total 45%

TWIC 580   710 games
1-0   243 games            total 55%
0-1   179 games            total 45%

TWIC 582     1115 games
1-0     434 games           total 55%
0-1     330 games           total 45%

TWIC 583 games
1-0      744 games          total 55%
0-1      561 games          total 45%

TWIC 674    1245 games
1-0      475 games         total 55%
0-1      350 games         total 45%

Let's see how some Great Players of the Past did.

Marshall, F  Total Games played  = 1364
1-0       =  523               total 55%
0-1       =  392               total 45%
1/2       =  448

Alekhine,A   Total Games played  = 1606
1-0       = 670                total 56%
0-1       = 476                total 44%
1/2 1/2 = 459

Capablanca, J Total Games played  = 570
1-0       = 185                total 54%
0-1       = 136                total 46%
1/2 1/2 = 248

Lasker, E    Total Games played    = 1063
1-0         = 424                total 53%
0-1        = 367                 total 47%
1/2 1/2  = 269

Tal, M         Total Games played    = 2868
1-0           = 922              total 56%
0-1           = 602              total 44%
1/2 1/2       = 1343

Fischer, R   Total Games played   = 2167
1-0           = 850              total 55%
0-1           = 637              total 45%
1/2 1/2       = 677

Spassky, B    Total Games played  = 2113
1-0          = 531              total 55%
0-1          = 537              total 45%
1/2 1/2      = 1245

Smyslov, V      Total Games played = 2579
1-0          = 741              total 55%
0-1          = 459              total 45%
1/2 1/2      = 1379

So what's going on?




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