Author: Vincent Lejeune
Date: 00:50:44 02/16/06
Go up one level in this thread
On February 16, 2006 at 03:48:53, Vincent Lejeune wrote: >On February 15, 2006 at 23:26:28, Robert Hyatt wrote: > >> >>Yes, it absolutely does. Simple example: 4 strong programs, 12 weak ones. >>after round 1, you have 8 with 1, 8 with 0, the 8 with 1 include the top 4. >>After two rounds, the top four have two, the bottom four have 0, and the rest >>have 1 (assuming no draws). after 3 more rounds the top four have played. What >>now for those other 4 rounds? Other programs? With the luck factor increasing >>variance? > >You assume that the strong programs always win against weak but it's not the >case : If program1 is 200 elo stronger than program2, program2 score 3 points >against program1 in 10 games. It's a lot of noise to find the stronger. > 2 points not 3.
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