Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 15:47:07 05/13/99
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On May 13, 1999 at 11:52:35, Rajen Gupta wrote: >We should all be rejoicing.all the chess computer message boards have been >concerned with attaining the HOLY GRAIL of a world championship level desktop >machine which is also relatively affordable. We are now about to get it in the >next 3-4 years or so(IF ever). REJOICE (By that time of course there will be >multi processor IA 64 Intel machines) which just might be able to stand upto >this monster! Have no fear the competition will be just as strong as it is now. Multiple IA 64 chips (which are down the road) will be about where the DEC 21264 is today. You can buy a 5 foot tall DEC NT server with 14 of those. I think that a single Hsu chip will still toast it (if it really achieves 30M NPS). Let's do some quick back-of-the envelope math: Crafty on a PII 300 gets about 160K NPS. We'll call it 200K just to be generous. It already has 64 bit integer operations, but we'll say the new chip is twice as fast. We'll also quadruple the bus speed and assume that we can operate at full tilt. That give us 200K * 8 = 1.6M NPS/chip. With 14 of them we get 22.4M NPS (assuming 0 SMP loss). We are on the same order of magnitude, so given a few favorable engineering breaks, we might actually achieve 30M NPS with a machine like that. Now, consider the cost of this beast verses Hsu's chip. Ouch. Compete? I don't think so. If the chip does become a reality, computer chess programming will be radically changed for at least a decade. What I think the most exciting outcome would be is the possibilities for explorations. Imagine if one million of these are sold. The data analysis that could be performed by that many screaming chess monsters boggles the imagination.
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