Author: Peter Hegger
Date: 02:24:20 05/14/99
Hello Let's say that today's best programs, Fritz, CM6000, junior etc.. are playing at the 2450 level at 40/2 when they've got hardware capable of knocking off .5M nps. I don't think this is too outlandish an assumption. If you double this speed 8 times over you arrive at 128M nps. This is in the same ballpark as this new proposed screamer of Hsu's which it is estimated will knock off 120M nps on a multi-processor platform. I've seen in other threads that doubling speed will increase performance anywhere from 30-70 points per doubling. For argument's sake and to split the difference I'll assume that 50 is likely pretty close. Using 2450 as the base this would translate into an elo of 2850 give or take a bit. Is it really possible that a machine which is stronger (marginally) rating wise than the world champion is right around the corner. Or am I missing something here in making this estimate? In any event I'd love to see Kasparov tackle this baby in a 40/2 24 game match. Bets anyone? :) Regards Peter
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