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Subject: Re: DB Chip will kill all comercial programs or.....

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 21:19:59 05/19/99

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On May 19, 1999 at 22:47:54, James B. Shearer wrote:

>On May 19, 1999 at 08:44:57, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On May 19, 1999 at 01:43:54, James B. Shearer wrote:
>>
>>>On May 19, 1999 at 01:24:36, Eugene Nalimov wrote:
>>>
>>>>Page 81:
>>>>
>>>>"I am forming an independent start-up to create a new chess chip for consumers.
>>>>This new chip could make it possible for a desktop machine to defeat the Worlds
>>>>Champion in a formal match as early as the year 2000."
>>>>
>>>          And how does this imply that Hsu's startup will have the rights to the
>>>IBM deep blue programs and will not have to rewrite them from scratch?
>>>                            James B. Shearer
>>>PS:  Sorry about the duplicate posts.  For some reason the board was truncating
>>>my post and resubmitting it just reproduced the problem.
>>
>>
>>Because he specifically mentions the year 2000, which is 7 months from
>>which implies his time frame for delivery is 7 ~ 19 months.  He isn't going to
>>rewrite _everything_ from scratch in that period of time.
>
>           "could make it possible" is so vague as to be almost meaningless in
>my opinion.  It seems very unlikely that the "Worlds champion" would play such a
>match.  However if the champion did any of the top programs (rebel, fritz even
>crafty) would have a chance of defeating him.  Maybe not a good chance but Hsu
>does not say his chip would be the favorite just that it would be possible for
>it to win.
>                              James B. Shearer


I see no reason to continue the argument.  Because it will be resolved outside
our control anyway.  He said "it is possible that by 2000"...  that gives him
19 months to deliver the thing.  Either he will or he won't.  I've _never_ seen
Hsu say "I can do A by B" and then not have "A" running by time "B".  I assume
he hasn't changed.

But that is just my opinion...  If it isn't available within 19 months I will
be surprised.  If it isn't produced ever, I will be amazed.  The DB group has
_never_ been into "vaporware"...



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