Author: Robert Hyatt
Date: 13:51:45 06/15/99
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On June 15, 1999 at 08:43:34, walter irvin wrote: > this looks like it could be rebels year,fritz got spanked so it is out,the only >programs left worth worry about,hiarcs,cilkchess This is really a crap-shoot for those at the top. Think about this. For the top 1/3 of the programs (that really have a chance of winning) when they play each other they have a roughly equal chance of winning or losing. For the probability of winning the remaining 4 rounds, you get .5^4, which is lousy odds. :) This is still wide open... remember that a perfect score is _highly_ improbable... (compute .5^7) so that things can still happen. and every loss in the last 2 rounds will drastically shift the standings... since the ones at the top will be continually playing each other for the last three-4 rounds... It will be bloody, and it isn't over...
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