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Subject: Re: rebel will win it all

Author: Mark Young

Date: 15:39:20 06/15/99

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On June 15, 1999 at 16:51:45, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On June 15, 1999 at 08:43:34, walter irvin wrote:
>
>> this looks like it could be rebels year,fritz got spanked so it is out,the only
>>programs left worth worry about,hiarcs,cilkchess
>
>
>This is really a crap-shoot for those at the top.  Think about this.  For
>the top 1/3 of the programs (that really have a chance of winning) when
>they play each other they have a roughly equal chance of winning or
>losing.  For the probability of winning the remaining 4 rounds, you get
>.5^4, which is lousy odds.  :)
>
>This is still wide open... remember that a perfect score is _highly_
>improbable... (compute .5^7) so that things can still happen.  and every
>loss in the last 2 rounds will drastically shift the standings...  since
>the ones at the top will be continually playing each other for the last
>three-4 rounds...  It will be bloody, and it isn't over...

Well said, I think some people are new to this computer vs computer chess.:)







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